Armed Groups & Insurgency
Organisation, financing, evolution, external relationships and strategic behaviour of armed groups in and around Somalia, including Al-Shabaab and Islamic State in Somalia.
Programmes
Three core programmes, supported by cross-cutting expertise and a defined way of working with commissioning partners.
Core programmes
Organisation, financing, evolution, external relationships and strategic behaviour of armed groups in and around Somalia, including Al-Shabaab and Islamic State in Somalia.
Security institutions, security-sector reform, intelligence institutions, counter-terrorism policy, accountability and institutional resilience.
Maritime security, arms and illicit flows, regional rivalries, cross-border dynamics and geopolitical competition affecting Somalia.
Cross-cutting expertise
A developing area pursued through partnerships.
Research Programs
Our research spans critical security domains, providing policymakers with evidence-based analysis and actionable recommendations.
Strategic defence policy, military affairs, and homeland security analysis.
Geopolitical analysis, regional stability, and international security dynamics.
Terrorism prevention, threat assessment, and response strategies.
Conflict resolution, peace building, and post-conflict reconstruction.
Digital security, cyber defence, and critical infrastructure protection.
Intelligence analysis, strategic foresight, and national security decision-making.
State building, institutional resilience, and democratic governance.
Territorial security, maritime defence, and border management.
What we do
In-depth studies, threat assessments and policy research on security, governance, conflict and strategic affairs.
Structured analysis of open-source, field and contextual information to identify actors, patterns, risks and implications.
Evidence-based policy options, strategic briefs and recommendations for decision-makers.
Horizon scanning, scenario analysis and early identification of emerging risks.
Collection, validation, geospatial mapping and interpretation of evidence to strengthen policy and programme decisions.
Expert roundtables, briefings and dialogue connecting research with institutions and stakeholders.
Tailored learning for researchers, analysts, policymakers and institutions.
Support to organisations designing interventions in fragile and security-sensitive environments.
Working with us
An agreed collection plan mapped to the client’s decision problem; regular verbal and written updates; interim findings flagged with confidence levels; and end-of-project delivery of the report, sanitised data, limitations, recommendations and a “what we would collect next” annex. Restricted and confidential assignments are handled under controlled circulation, source-protection procedures and handling terms agreed in the contract.