Analysis & Commentary

Somalia and the Discipline of Statecraft On 26 December 2025, Israel announced its recognition of what it calls “Somaliland.” What had long circulated as speculation is now a declared political act. This was not a misunderstanding, a rumour, or diplomatic ambiguity. It was deliberate. Thanking the Mossad (Israel’s intelligence agency) in the Israeli PM’s declaration…

In January 2024, Ethiopia nearly broke Somalia’s sovereignty without firing a shot. A single memorandum of understanding with Somaliland (region in Somalia) — now paused — exposed Addis Ababa’s willingness to redraw the Horn of Africa’s political map and Mogadishu’s inability to stop it. This was not an isolated provocation, but part of Ethiopia’s long,…