Publications / Analysis & Commentary
Analysis & Commentary
Expert analysis, opinion pieces, and commentary from our researchers on current security issues and policy debates.
Featured
Explore Our Latest Analysis & Commentary
When The New World Disorder Arrives on Our Shores
Somalia and the Discipline of Statecraft On 26 December 2025, Israel announced its recognition of what it calls “Somaliland.” What had long circulated as speculation is now a declared political act. This was not a misunderstanding, a rumour, or diplomatic ambiguity. It was deliberate. Thanking the Mossad (Israel’s intelligence agency) in the Israeli PM’s declaration […]
Somalia’s Options in the New Geometry of Power in the Horn
In January 2024, Ethiopia nearly broke Somalia’s sovereignty without firing a shot. A single memorandum of understanding with Somaliland (region in Somalia) — now paused — exposed Addis Ababa’s willingness to redraw the Horn of Africa’s political map and Mogadishu’s inability to stop it. This was not an isolated provocation, but part of Ethiopia’s long, […]